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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Estoril

Porto
0 - 1
Estoril


Eustaquio (29'), Conceicao (31'), Gonzalez (70'), Carmo (74'), Martinez (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Holsgrove (75')
Feltes (10'), Fernandes (35'), Marques (39'), Vital (45+1'), Alvaro (55'), Araujo (56'), Carne (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-2 Porto
Sunday, October 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Estoril
Saturday, October 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-0 Estoril Praia

 Porto are huge favourites to claim another comfortable victory, and even if Conceicao makes a few changes with the Antwerp game in mind, they should still stroll to three points here. Having not tasted success in the league for almost three months, the Dragao is not the best place to go hunting for a win to end that barren run, and it could be another long night for Estoril here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 10.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
PortoDrawEstoril Praia
72.98% (0.058000000000007 0.06) 16.35% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 10.67% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.14% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.26% (0.0019999999999953 0)36.73% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.1% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.27% (0.012999999999991 0.01)8.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70% (0.033000000000001 0.03)30% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.03% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)43.97% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.9% (-0.052 -0.05)80.1% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Porto 72.98%
    Estoril Praia 10.67%
    Draw 16.35%
PortoDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 11.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.28% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.62%
4-0 @ 5.66% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 2.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.27% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 0.93%
6-1 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 72.98%
1-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 16.35%
1-2 @ 3.16% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.3% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 10.67%

How you voted: Porto vs Estoril

Porto
91.2%
Draw
2.9%
Estoril Praia
5.9%
34
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 24
Porto
3-2
Estoril
Grujic (9'), Franco (31'), Taremi (73' pen.)
Gouveia (27'), Geraldes (67' pen.)
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 7
Estoril
1-1
Porto
Gouveia (41')
Taremi (90+9' pen.)
> Preview
May 14, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 34
Porto
2-0
Estoril
Joaozinho (48' og.), Fernando (88')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 17
Estoril
2-3
Porto
Arthur (38'), Franco (43' pen.)
Arthur (48'), Fonte (62'), Pinheiro (64'), Lourenco (81'), Franco (90+7')
Taremi (49'), Diaz (84'), Conceicao (89')
Conceicao (90+1'), Otavio (90+5')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2018 6pm
Estoril
1-3
Porto
Eduardo (16')
Ribeiro (42'), Allano (57'), Andrade (70')
Telles (52'), Tiquinho (58', 66')
Reyes (15'), Brahimi (71'), Hernani (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1910272120132
6Casa Pia198652523230
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes196852825326
8Estoril PraiaEstoril196672230-824
9MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
10Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
11Gil Vicente195772228-622
12FamalicaoFamalicao194962024-421
13Nacional1954101626-1019
14AroucaArouca1954101630-1419
15AVS193971527-1218
16Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1926111332-1912
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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