We said: Porto 3-1 Royal Antwerp
Antwerp are certainly capable of causing problems on Tuesday, and we are backing them to find the back of the net in their fourth match in the competition. Porto have so much quality, though, and even with some injuries to important players, we are expecting the Portuguese outfit to win this match relatively comfortably.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 59.47%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Royal Antwerp win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.