Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 26, 2023 at 9.15pm UK
Estadio do Futebol Clube de Vizela
We said: Vizela 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
Vizela have had a strong season, but Sporting's recent form has been excellent, and we are finding it difficult to back against the Green and Whites here. The visitors should have too much attacking quality for their opponents, and we are also backing them to keep a clean sheet.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.99% . A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 16.75% .
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.51%) and 1-2 (9.77%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%) , while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (5.72%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result Vizela Draw Sporting Lisbon 16.75% ( -0) 22.26% ( -0.01) 60.99% ( 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.19% ( 0.04)
50.57% ( 0.06) 49.43% ( -0.06)
28.53% ( 0.05) 71.47% ( -0.05)
57.2% ( 0.03) 42.8% ( -0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 20.88% ( 0.03) 79.12% ( -0.03)
84.25% ( 0.03) 15.75% ( -0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 55.15% ( 0.05) 44.85% ( -0.04)
Vizela 16.75%
Sporting Lisbon 60.98%
Draw 22.25%
Vizela Draw Sporting Lisbon 1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.27% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 16.75% 1-1 @ 10.57% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.25% 0-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 11.51% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.28% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.21% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 60.98%
How you voted: Vizela vs Sporting Lisbon
Vizela
Draw
Sporting Lisbon
44
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-30 02:24:00
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