Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.51%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
16.75% ( -0) | 22.26% ( -0.01) | 60.99% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.19% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.57% ( 0.06) | 49.43% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.53% ( 0.05) | 71.47% ( -0.05) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.2% ( 0.03) | 42.8% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.88% ( 0.03) | 79.12% ( -0.03) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.25% ( 0.03) | 15.75% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.15% ( 0.05) | 44.85% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.27% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 16.75% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 11.51% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.28% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.21% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 60.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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