Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.51%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
16.75% ( -0) | 22.26% ( -0.01) | 60.99% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.19% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.57% ( 0.06) | 49.43% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.53% ( 0.05) | 71.47% ( -0.05) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.2% ( 0.03) | 42.8% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.88% ( 0.03) | 79.12% ( -0.03) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.25% ( 0.03) | 15.75% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.15% ( 0.05) | 44.85% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.27% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 16.75% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 11.51% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.28% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.21% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 60.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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