Russian Premier League | Gameweek 25

Apr 30, 2023 at 5pm UK

RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
5 - 1
Khimki

Miranchuk (27' pen.), Dzyuba (52', 70'), Ignatyev (73'), Isidor (76')
Magkeev (6'), Tiknizyan (12'), Barinov (80'), Ignatyev (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rudenko (60')
Gbane (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Khimki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: CSKA 1-1 Lokomotiv
Sunday, April 23 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Khimki

All competitions

Last Game: Khimki 4-2 Torpedo Moskva
Saturday, April 22 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 62.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 16.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.

Result
Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Khimki
62.4% ( -0.86)	21.12% ( 0.15)	16.48% ( 0.72)

Both teams to score 51.16% (

1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.85% (

0.68)

45.15% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.51% (

0.65)

67.49% (

-0.65)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.12% (

-0.05)

13.88% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.7% (

-0.09)

41.29% (

0.09)

Khimki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.41% (

1.33)

40.58% (

-1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.82% (

1.18)

77.18% (

-1.18)

Score Analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 62.39%

Khimki 16.48%

Draw 21.12%

Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Khimki
1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 62.39%	1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.12%	0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.88% Total : 16.48%