Russian Premier League | Gameweek 15
Oct 28, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadion Gazovik
Orenburg4 - 1Fakel
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Fakel.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Orenburg 2-2 CSKA
Sunday, October 23 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Sunday, October 23 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Fakel 1-1 Rostov
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Goals
for
for
17
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 59.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 19.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Fakel |
59.05% ( 0.04) | 21.47% ( -0) | 19.48% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.88% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
