Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Rostov win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.