Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.