Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.