Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.