Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
Result | ||
Queen's Park | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
50.96% ( 0.16) | 23.12% ( -0.06) | 25.92% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 58.89% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.19% ( 0.16) | 41.8% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.79% ( 0.17) | 64.2% ( -0.17) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.48% ( 0.12) | 16.51% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.74% ( 0.21) | 46.25% ( -0.21) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.54% ( 0) | 29.46% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.53% ( 0.01) | 65.46% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Queen's Park | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 50.96% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 25.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 |
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