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Ross County
Scottish League Cup | Quarter-Finals
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Global Energy Stadium
Aberdeen logo

Ross County
1 - 2
Aberdeen

Turner (83' pen.)
Murray (17'), Harmon (64'), Turner (71')
Baldwin (14')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shinnie (8'), Sokler (80')
Barron (59'), Rubezic (84'), Sokler (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish League Cup clash between Ross County and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 4-0 Ross County
Sunday, September 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 4-0 Ross County
Sunday, September 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Ross County 1-3 Aberdeen

Ross County were on the receiving end of a heavy defeat away against Aberdeen at the weekend, with the hosts dominating the vast majority of the match. Given that the Staggies have home advantage on Wednesday, they may fare slightly better, but we expect the Dons to book their place in the semi-final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
Ross CountyDrawAberdeen
38.76% (-0.409 -0.41) 24.14% (-0.09 -0.09) 37.1% (0.494 0.49)
Both teams to score 60.93% (0.368 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.43% (0.462 0.46)41.57% (-0.466 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.03% (0.466 0.47)63.96% (-0.47 -0.47)
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (0.0019999999999953 0)21.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)54.58% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64% (0.464 0.46)22.36% (-0.468 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14% (0.693 0.69)55.86% (-0.697 -0.7)
Score Analysis
    Ross County 38.76%
    Aberdeen 37.1%
    Draw 24.14%
Ross CountyDrawAberdeen
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.39% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-0 @ 5.68% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 38.76%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.37% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.4% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.14% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.056 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.052 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.041 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 37.1%

How you voted: Ross County vs Aberdeen

Ross County
12.5%
Draw
25.0%
Aberdeen
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Aberdeen
4-0
Ross County
Miovski (21', 52'), Lopes (42'), McGrath (47')

Brown (16'), Dhanda (38'), Leak (60'), Nightingale (68')
Apr 14, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Ross County
1-1
Aberdeen
Akio (90+5')
Lopes (88')
Clarkson (57'), Lopes (89')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Aberdeen
0-1
Ross County

Hayes (84'), Ferguson (85')
Hungbo (86' pen.)
Iacovitti (27'), Callachan (56'), Baldwin (73')
rhs 2.0
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