Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.