Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Queen of the South in this match.