Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.53%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
37.44% ( 0) | 24.31% ( 0) | 38.25% |
Both teams to score 60.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.63% | 42.37% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.22% | 64.77% ( 0) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.45% | 22.54% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.87% ( 0) | 56.13% ( 0) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.86% | 22.13% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.49% | 55.51% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.35% 1-0 @ 7.43% 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.44% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-1 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 4.25% 2-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |