Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 78.29%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 8.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.55%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 2-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
8.39% ( 0.49) | 13.32% ( 0.52) | 78.29% ( -1.01) |
Both teams to score 53.83% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.18% ( -0.92) | 28.82% ( 0.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.25% ( -1.15) | 49.75% ( 1.15) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.18% ( 0.39) | 42.82% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.87% ( 0.33) | 79.13% ( -0.33) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.13% ( -0.36) | 5.87% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.49% ( -1.04) | 22.51% ( 1.04) |
Score Analysis |
Edinburgh City | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
2-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.77% Total : 8.39% | 1-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 13.32% | 0-2 @ 10.1% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 9.55% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.23) 0-4 @ 6.77% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 5.74% ( -0.14) 0-5 @ 3.84% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 3.26% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 0-6 @ 1.81% ( -0.15) 1-6 @ 1.54% ( -0.11) 2-5 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.64% Total : 78.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |