Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Airdrieonians |
38.31% ( -0.04) | 25.68% ( -0) | 36.01% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.29% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.19% ( 0.01) | 48.81% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.09% ( 0.01) | 70.91% ( -0.01) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75% ( -0.02) | 25% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.34% ( -0.03) | 59.65% ( 0.02) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.71% ( 0.03) | 26.28% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.6% ( 0.04) | 61.4% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Airdrieonians |
1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 38.31% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 36.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 29 |
4 | Cove Rangers | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 22 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 19 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |