Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.