Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
46.43% ( 0.03) | 26.29% ( -0.02) | 27.28% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.89% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.81% ( 0.06) | 54.19% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.4% ( 0.05) | 75.59% ( -0.05) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.69% ( 0.04) | 23.31% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.75% ( 0.05) | 57.25% ( -0.05) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.04% ( 0.02) | 34.95% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.3% ( 0.02) | 71.69% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 46.43% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.56% 0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 50 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 30 |
7 | St Mirren | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 30 |
8 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
9 | Hearts | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 27 |
10 | Ross County | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 26 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 25 |
12 | St Johnstone | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 18 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |