Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 34
May 6, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Motherwell2 - 0Kilmarnock
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Celtic 1-1 Motherwell
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 0-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock will enter this match off the back of an away win over St Mirren, but Motherwell impressively drew with Celtic last time out. The last two matches between the two sides have finished level, and we can see the points again being shared on Saturday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
46.37% ( 2.12) | 25.5% ( -0.01) | 28.13% ( -2.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( -1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
