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Dundee United
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Motherwell logo
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 35
May 13, 2023 at 3pm UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Livingston logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Livingston

Vassell (48'), Armstrong (64' pen.)
Wright (11')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kelly (49'), Holt (64'), de Lucas (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 2-0 Livingston
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-0 Livingston

Kilmarnock are fighting for their lives at the bottom of the Premiership and will welcome three home matches in their last four as they attempt to stay in the division. Livingston are a team with little to play for, and we envisage another uninspiring performance from the Livi Lions - even if manager Martindale makes a host of changes to his starting XI. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Livingston win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawLivingston
56.14% (-0.171 -0.17) 22.29% (-0.029 -0.03) 21.57% (0.201 0.2)
Both teams to score 56.44% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (0.386 0.39)42.62% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (0.382 0.38)65.02% (-0.381 -0.38)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.97% (0.075999999999993 0.08)15.02% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.49% (0.141 0.14)43.5% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.41% (0.40900000000001 0.41)33.58% (-0.407 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.77% (0.444 0.44)70.22% (-0.443 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 56.14%
    Livingston 21.57%
    Draw 22.29%
KilmarnockDrawLivingston
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.71% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 56.14%
1-1 @ 10.43% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.056 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 5.69% (0.045 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.51% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 21.57%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Livingston

Kilmarnock
100%
Draw
0.0%
Livingston
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
gameweek 25
Livingston
3-1
Kilmarnock
Nouble (10'), Anderson (12'), Kelly (29')
Penrice (68'), Nouble (75')
Doidge (47')
Armstrong (44'), McKenzie (79')
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 14
Kilmarnock
2-3
Livingston
Wright (4', 45+2')
Anderson (39'), Kelly (61' pen.), Stokes (75' og.)
Kelly (45')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Jan 27, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Livingston
2-0
Kilmarnock
Kabia (89'), Pittman (90')
Bartley (40'), Devlin (86')

Power (19'), Haunstrup (69'), McKenzie (84')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
gameweek 20
Kilmarnock
1-2
Livingston
Burke (48' pen.)
Kabamba (8'), Burke (90+1')
Emmanuel-Thomas (51'), Robinson (90+3')
Devlin (47'), Serrano (57')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1211103543134
2Aberdeen12101125121331
3RangersRangers12723179823
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd135531914520
5Motherwell126151616019
6St Mirren145361923-418
7Dundee134362225-315
8Ross County143651222-1015
9St Johnstone144191727-1013
10Kilmarnock133371526-1112
11Hearts142391524-99
12Hibernian131571222-108


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