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Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 35
May 13, 2023 at 3pm UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Livingston logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Livingston

Vassell (48'), Armstrong (64' pen.)
Wright (11')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kelly (49'), Holt (64'), de Lucas (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Last Game: Motherwell 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Livingston

All competitions
Last Game: Ross County 2-0 Livingston
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-0 Livingston

 Kilmarnock are fighting for their lives at the bottom of the Premiership and will welcome three home matches in their last four as they attempt to stay in the division. Livingston are a team with little to play for, and we envisage another uninspiring performance from the Livi Lions - even if manager Martindale makes a host of changes to his starting XI. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Livingston win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawLivingston
56.14% (-0.171 -0.17) 22.29% (-0.029 -0.03) 21.57% (0.201 0.2)
Both teams to score 56.44% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (0.386 0.39)42.62% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (0.382 0.38)65.02% (-0.381 -0.38)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.97% (0.075999999999993 0.08)15.02% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.49% (0.141 0.14)43.5% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.41% (0.40900000000001 0.41)33.58% (-0.407 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.77% (0.444 0.44)70.22% (-0.443 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 56.14%
    Livingston 21.57%
    Draw 22.29%
KilmarnockDrawLivingston
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.71% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 56.14%
1-1 @ 10.43% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.056 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 5.69% (0.045 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.51% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 21.57%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Livingston

Kilmarnock
100%
Draw
0.0%
Livingston
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
gameweek 25
Livingston
3-1
Kilmarnock
Nouble (10'), Anderson (12'), Kelly (29')
Penrice (68'), Nouble (75')
Doidge (47')
Armstrong (44'), McKenzie (79')
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 14
Kilmarnock
2-3
Livingston
Wright (4', 45+2')
Anderson (39'), Kelly (61' pen.), Stokes (75' og.)
Kelly (45')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 8
Livingston
1-0
Kilmarnock
Montano (25')

Mayo (45')
Jan 27, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Livingston
2-0
Kilmarnock
Kabia (89'), Pittman (90')
Bartley (40'), Devlin (86')

Power (19'), Haunstrup (69'), McKenzie (84')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
gameweek 20
Kilmarnock
1-2
Livingston
Burke (48' pen.)
Kabamba (8'), Burke (90+1')
Emmanuel-Thomas (51'), Robinson (90+3')
Devlin (47'), Serrano (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1916215274550
2RangersRangers19123434132139
3Dundee UnitedDundee Utd209743021934
4Aberdeen2010463228434
5St Mirren2183102734-727
6Motherwell208392534-927
7Hibernian216782832-425
8Kilmarnock216692536-1124
9Dundee2064103036-622
10Ross County215792138-1722
11Hearts2155112431-720
12St Johnstone2143142341-1815
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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