We said: Rangers 3-2 Benfica (Rangers to win 5-4 on aggregate)
Each of the last three meetings between Rangers and Benfica - all in the Europa League - have ended as a draw, with both sides scoring at least two goals. Another entertaining end-to-end affair could be in store, but something has to give on Thursday.
While Rangers are without a number of first-team players through injury, a refreshed set of options in key areas across the pitch will strengthen Benfica following their domestic win last weekend. However, the Ibrox factor on a big European night could play a significant role for the Gers, with the home crowd roaring them on to another memorable home triumph.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.