Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.52%) and 1-3 (4.92%). The likeliest Rangers win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rangers | Draw | Celtic |
37.18% ( -3.14) | 22.36% ( 0.61) | 40.45% ( 2.53) |
Both teams to score 67.82% ( -2.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.38% ( -3.25) | 32.62% ( 3.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.71% ( -3.85) | 54.28% ( 3.85) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.65% ( -2.71) | 18.35% ( 2.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.54% ( -4.8) | 49.45% ( 4.8) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.05% ( -0.34) | 16.94% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.98% ( -0.62) | 47.02% ( 0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Rangers | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.48) 2-0 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.48) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.4) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.38) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.21) 4-3 @ 1% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.85% Total : 37.18% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.54) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.86) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.71) 2-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.39) 1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.16) 3-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.39% Total : 40.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |