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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Empoli logo

Fiorentina
1 - 1
Empoli

Cabral (85')
Martinez (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cambiaghi (28')
Akpa-Akpro (27'), Ismajli (45+4'), Cacace (60'), Baldanzi (64'), Bandinelli (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 0-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Empoli 2-2 Spezia
Saturday, February 11 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Empoli

Although Fiorentina may be a little fatigued given that there is less than a 72 hour turnaround between facing Braga on Thursday and this match, they should have taken huge confidence from their significant victory in Portugal. Italiano will be targeting maximum points from their next two fixtures to move further away from the relegation zone, and we expect the Violets to complete the first step of that against Empoli on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 72.11%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawEmpoli
72.11% (1.253 1.25) 17.04% (-0.679 -0.68) 10.85% (-0.577 -0.58)
Both teams to score 49.23% (0.39 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.45% (1.562 1.56)39.54% (-1.565 -1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.11% (1.609 1.61)61.89% (-1.613 -1.61)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.36% (0.71799999999999 0.72)9.64% (-0.721 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.81% (1.657 1.66)32.18% (-1.662 -1.66)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.48% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)45.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)81.34% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 72.1%
    Empoli 10.85%
    Draw 17.04%
FiorentinaDrawEmpoli
2-0 @ 12% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 9.36% (0.202 0.2)
3-1 @ 7.37% (0.159 0.16)
4-0 @ 5.48% (0.283 0.28)
4-1 @ 4.31% (0.223 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.062 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.56% (0.208 0.21)
5-1 @ 2.02% (0.164 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.087 0.09)
6-0 @ 1% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 72.1%
1-1 @ 8.08% (-0.336 -0.34)
0-0 @ 4.39% (-0.328 -0.33)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 17.04%
0-1 @ 3.45% (-0.258 -0.26)
1-2 @ 3.18% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 1.36% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 10.85%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Empoli

Fiorentina
69.0%
Draw
14.3%
Empoli
16.7%
42
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 5.30pm
Empoli
0-0
Fiorentina

Bandinelli (32')
Luperto (67'), Zanetti (90+10')

Ikone (37'), Maleh (40'), Sottil (73')
Apr 3, 2022 11.30am
Nov 27, 2021 2pm
May 5, 2019 11.30am
Dec 16, 2018 2pm
Fiorentina
3-1
Empoli
Mirallas (40'), Simeone (59'), Dabo (78')
Benassi (53'), Gerson (65')
Krunic (24')
Krunic (55')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7AC Milan187742718928
8Bologna177732521428
9Udinese207482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino205782025-522
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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