Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan3 - 3Genoa
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Juventus 0-0 AC Milan
Saturday, April 27 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, April 27 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Monday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: AC Milan 1-1 Genoa
As Milan's momentum has been lost - and several players will be absent - plucky Genoa can capitalise by extending their hosts' winless streak and taking a point back home to Liguria. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Genoa |
57.32% ( -0.7) | 23.12% ( 0.44) | 19.56% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 50.62% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.17% ( -1.45) | 48.83% ( 1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.07% ( -1.33) | 70.93% ( 1.33) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( -0.76) | 16.79% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.25% ( -1.36) | 46.75% ( 1.36) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.83% ( -0.55) | 39.16% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.12% ( -0.52) | 75.88% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
AC Milan 57.31%
Genoa 19.56%
Draw 23.12%
| AC Milan | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.98% Total : 57.31% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.12% | 0-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.4% Total : 19.56% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Genoa
AC Milan
82.7%Draw
11.2%Genoa
6.1%98
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
AC Milan
2-0
Genoa
Jan 13, 2022 8pm
Final
AC Milan
3-1
Genoa
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Genoa
0-3
AC Milan
Apr 18, 2021 11.30am
