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Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Genoa logo

AC Milan
3 - 3
Genoa

Florenzi (45'), Gabbia (72'), Giroud (75')
Reijnders (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Retegui (5' pen.), Ekuban (48'), Thiaw (87' og.)
Vasquez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Genoa

As Milan's momentum has been lost - and several players will be absent - plucky Genoa can capitalise by extending their hosts' winless streak and taking a point back home to Liguria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawGenoa
57.32% (-0.705 -0.7) 23.12% (0.436 0.44) 19.56% (0.268 0.27)
Both teams to score 50.62% (-0.92299999999999 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.17% (-1.451 -1.45)48.83% (1.449 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.07% (-1.331 -1.33)70.93% (1.328 1.33)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (-0.756 -0.76)16.79% (0.753 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (-1.362 -1.36)46.75% (1.358 1.36)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.83% (-0.553 -0.55)39.16% (0.55099999999999 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.12% (-0.521 -0.52)75.88% (0.518 0.52)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 57.31%
    Genoa 19.56%
    Draw 23.12%
AC MilanDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.4 0.4)
2-0 @ 10.46% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.78% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.09 -0.09)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 57.31%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.383 0.38)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.16% (0.271 0.27)
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 19.56%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Genoa

AC Milan
82.7%
Draw
11.2%
Genoa
6.1%
98
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Genoa
0-1
AC Milan

Gilardino (10+10'), De Winter (69'), Martinez (86')
Martinez (90+13')
Pulisic (87')
Hernandez (21'), Florenzi (22'), Musah (47'), Adli (62'), Tomori (90+9')
Maignan (90+8')
Apr 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
AC Milan
2-0
Genoa
Leao (11'), Messias (87')
Tonali (84')

Yeboah (79'), Gudmundsson (90+4')
Jan 13, 2022 8pm
Final
AC Milan
3-1
Genoa
Giroud (74'), Leao (102'), Saelemaekers (112')
Tonali (42'), Saelemaekers (115')
Skiri Oestigaard (17')
Badelj (37'), Yeboah (47'), Skiri Oestigaard (53'), Hefti (64')
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Genoa
0-3
AC Milan

Masiello (67'), Rovella (73')
Ibrahimovic (10'), Messias (45+2', 61')
Gabbia (32')
Apr 18, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 31
AC Milan
2-1
Genoa
Rebic (13'), Scamacca (68' og.)
Destro (37')
Goldaniga (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese197482328-525
10Roma185582424020
11Empoli194871822-420
12Torino185581924-520
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
15Parma184682534-918
16Como184682030-1018
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
19CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
20Monza1817101625-910


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