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Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Genoa logo

AC Milan
3 - 3
Genoa

Florenzi (45'), Gabbia (72'), Giroud (75')
Reijnders (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Retegui (5' pen.), Ekuban (48'), Thiaw (87' og.)
Vasquez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Genoa

As Milan's momentum has been lost - and several players will be absent - plucky Genoa can capitalise by extending their hosts' winless streak and taking a point back home to Liguria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawGenoa
57.32% (-0.705 -0.7) 23.12% (0.436 0.44) 19.56% (0.268 0.27)
Both teams to score 50.62% (-0.92299999999999 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.17% (-1.451 -1.45)48.83% (1.449 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.07% (-1.331 -1.33)70.93% (1.328 1.33)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (-0.756 -0.76)16.79% (0.753 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (-1.362 -1.36)46.75% (1.358 1.36)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.83% (-0.553 -0.55)39.16% (0.55099999999999 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.12% (-0.521 -0.52)75.88% (0.518 0.52)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 57.31%
    Genoa 19.56%
    Draw 23.12%
AC MilanDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.4 0.4)
2-0 @ 10.46% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.78% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.09 -0.09)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 57.31%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.383 0.38)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.16% (0.271 0.27)
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 19.56%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Genoa

AC Milan
82.7%
Draw
11.2%
Genoa
6.1%
98
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Genoa
0-1
AC Milan

Gilardino (10+10'), De Winter (69'), Martinez (86')
Martinez (90+13')
Pulisic (87')
Hernandez (21'), Florenzi (22'), Musah (47'), Adli (62'), Tomori (90+9')
Maignan (90+8')
Apr 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
AC Milan
2-0
Genoa
Leao (11'), Messias (87')
Tonali (84')

Yeboah (79'), Gudmundsson (90+4')
Jan 13, 2022 8pm
Final
AC Milan
3-1
Genoa
Giroud (74'), Leao (102'), Saelemaekers (112')
Tonali (42'), Saelemaekers (115')
Skiri Oestigaard (17')
Badelj (37'), Yeboah (47'), Skiri Oestigaard (53'), Hefti (64')
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Genoa
0-3
AC Milan

Masiello (67'), Rovella (73')
Ibrahimovic (10'), Messias (45+2', 61')
Gabbia (32')
Apr 18, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 31
AC Milan
2-1
Genoa
Rebic (13'), Scamacca (68' og.)
Destro (37')
Goldaniga (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli1410222191232
2Atalanta BCAtalanta14101336162031
3Inter Milan1384131141728
4Fiorentina1384127101728
5Lazio1491429171228
6Juventus146802281426
7AC Milan136432314922
8Bologna135621816221
9Udinese145271621-517
10Empoli143741014-416
11Parma143652022-215
12Torino144371620-415
13CagliariCagliari143561524-914
14Genoa143561324-1114
15Roma143471420-613
16Lecce14347722-1513
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1440101733-1612
18Como142571426-1211
19Monza141761217-510
20VeneziaVenezia1422101125-148


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