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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Milan logo

Genoa
0 - 1
AC Milan


Gilardino (10+10'), De Winter (69'), Martinez (86')
Martinez (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pulisic (87')
Hernandez (21'), Florenzi (22'), Musah (47'), Adli (62'), Tomori (90+9')
Maignan (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions
Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Genoa
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Dortmund 0-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Genoa 1-2 AC Milan

 Milan may have just two goals to show from their last seven Champions League fixtures, but their front line have proven capable of finding the net regularly in Serie A. Continuing a fine record at Marassi, the second-city side can leave Liguria with all three points on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
GenoaDrawAC Milan
34.7% (-0.614 -0.61) 25.86% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 39.44% (0.59 0.59)
Both teams to score 54.53% (-0.19 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29% (-0.203 -0.2)49.71% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.27% (-0.182 -0.18)71.72% (0.187 0.19)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.467 -0.47)27.49% (0.469 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01% (-0.608 -0.61)62.98% (0.611 0.61)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (0.22199999999999 0.22)24.8% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.62% (0.308 0.31)59.38% (-0.304 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 34.7%
    AC Milan 39.44%
    Draw 25.85%
GenoaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.69% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.41% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 34.7%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 9.5% (0.139 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.56% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.98% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.028 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 39.44%

How you voted: Genoa vs AC Milan

Genoa
16.9%
Draw
8.5%
AC Milan
74.6%
71
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
AC Milan
2-0
Genoa
Leao (11'), Messias (87')
Tonali (84')

Yeboah (79'), Gudmundsson (90+4')
> Preview
Jan 13, 2022 8pm
Final
AC Milan
3-1
Genoa
Giroud (74'), Leao (102'), Saelemaekers (112')
Tonali (42'), Saelemaekers (115')
Skiri Oestigaard (17')
Badelj (37'), Yeboah (47'), Skiri Oestigaard (53'), Hefti (64')
> Preview
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Genoa
0-3
AC Milan

Masiello (67'), Rovella (73')
Ibrahimovic (10'), Messias (45+2', 61')
Gabbia (32')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 31
AC Milan
2-1
Genoa
Rebic (13'), Scamacca (68' og.)
Destro (37')
Goldaniga (26')
> Preview
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Genoa
2-2
AC Milan
Destro (47', 60')
Pellegrini (18'), Radovanovic (87')
Calabria (52'), Kalulu (83')
Romagnoli (25'), Castillejo (54'), Leao (83')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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