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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Milan logo

Genoa
0 - 1
AC Milan


Gilardino (10+10'), De Winter (69'), Martinez (86')
Martinez (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pulisic (87')
Hernandez (21'), Florenzi (22'), Musah (47'), Adli (62'), Tomori (90+9')
Maignan (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Genoa
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Dortmund 0-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Genoa 1-2 AC Milan

Milan may have just two goals to show from their last seven Champions League fixtures, but their front line have proven capable of finding the net regularly in Serie A. Continuing a fine record at Marassi, the second-city side can leave Liguria with all three points on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
GenoaDrawAC Milan
34.7% (-0.614 -0.61) 25.86% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 39.44% (0.59 0.59)
Both teams to score 54.53% (-0.19 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29% (-0.203 -0.2)49.71% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.27% (-0.182 -0.18)71.72% (0.187 0.19)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.467 -0.47)27.49% (0.469 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01% (-0.608 -0.61)62.98% (0.611 0.61)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (0.22199999999999 0.22)24.8% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.62% (0.308 0.31)59.38% (-0.304 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 34.7%
    AC Milan 39.44%
    Draw 25.85%
GenoaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.69% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.41% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 34.7%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 9.5% (0.139 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.56% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.98% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.028 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 39.44%

How you voted: Genoa vs AC Milan

Genoa
16.9%
Draw
8.5%
AC Milan
74.6%
71
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
AC Milan
2-0
Genoa
Leao (11'), Messias (87')
Tonali (84')

Yeboah (79'), Gudmundsson (90+4')
Jan 13, 2022 8pm
Final
AC Milan
3-1
Genoa
Giroud (74'), Leao (102'), Saelemaekers (112')
Tonali (42'), Saelemaekers (115')
Skiri Oestigaard (17')
Badelj (37'), Yeboah (47'), Skiri Oestigaard (53'), Hefti (64')
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Genoa
0-3
AC Milan

Masiello (67'), Rovella (73')
Ibrahimovic (10'), Messias (45+2', 61')
Gabbia (32')
Apr 18, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 31
AC Milan
2-1
Genoa
Rebic (13'), Scamacca (68' og.)
Destro (37')
Goldaniga (26')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Genoa
2-2
AC Milan
Destro (47', 60')
Pellegrini (18'), Radovanovic (87')
Calabria (52'), Kalulu (83')
Romagnoli (25'), Castillejo (54'), Leao (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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