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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Siro
Genoa logo

AC Milan
2 - 0
Genoa

Leao (11'), Messias (87')
Tonali (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yeboah (79'), Gudmundsson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Genoa

Both sides have been difficult to break down in recent months but they have also struggled to find the net, so a low-scoring contest could be on the cards at San Siro. However, Milan will be the firm favourites to come away with maximum points and they should have enough quality in their side to edge past the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 77.87%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.46%) and 1-0 (11.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
AC MilanDrawGenoa
77.87%14.8%7.33%
Both teams to score 41.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.13%40.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.73%63.26%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.39%8.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.27%29.72%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.84%54.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.63%87.37%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 77.86%
    Genoa 7.33%
    Draw 14.8%
AC MilanDrawGenoa
2-0 @ 14.02%
3-0 @ 11.46%
1-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 7.03%
4-0 @ 7.03%
4-1 @ 4.31%
5-0 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 2.16%
5-1 @ 2.12%
6-0 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 77.86%
1-1 @ 7.01%
0-0 @ 4.66%
2-2 @ 2.64%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 14.8%
0-1 @ 2.86%
1-2 @ 2.15%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 7.33%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Genoa

AC Milan
85.9%
Draw
11.1%
Genoa
3.0%
135
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2022 8pm
AC Milan
3-1
Genoa
Giroud (74'), Leao (102'), Saelemaekers (112')
Tonali (42'), Saelemaekers (115')
Skiri Oestigaard (17')
Badelj (37'), Yeboah (47'), Skiri Oestigaard (53'), Hefti (64')
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Genoa
0-3
AC Milan

Masiello (67'), Rovella (73')
Ibrahimovic (10'), Messias (45+2', 61')
Gabbia (32')
Apr 18, 2021 11.30am
AC Milan
2-1
Genoa
Rebic (13'), Scamacca (68' og.)
Destro (37')
Goldaniga (26')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Genoa
2-2
AC Milan
Destro (47', 60')
Pellegrini (18'), Radovanovic (87')
Calabria (52'), Kalulu (83')
Romagnoli (25'), Castillejo (54'), Leao (83')
Mar 8, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna187832723429
8AC Milan187742718928
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza1917111727-1010


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