Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
| 20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
We said: AC Milan 1-0 Genoa
Both sides have been difficult to break down in recent months but they have also struggled to find the net, so a low-scoring contest could be on the cards at San Siro. However, Milan will be the firm favourites to come away with maximum points and they should have enough quality in their side to edge past the visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 77.87%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.46%) and 1-0 (11.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Genoa |
| 77.87% | 14.8% | 7.33% |
| Both teams to score 41.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.13% | 40.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.73% | 63.26% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.39% | 8.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 70.27% | 29.72% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.84% | 54.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.63% | 87.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Genoa |
| 2-0 @ 14.02% 3-0 @ 11.46% 1-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 7.03% 4-0 @ 7.03% 4-1 @ 4.31% 5-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 2.12% 6-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.53% Total : 77.86% | 1-1 @ 7.01% 0-0 @ 4.66% 2-2 @ 2.64% Other @ 0.48% Total : 14.8% | 0-1 @ 2.86% 1-2 @ 2.15% Other @ 2.32% Total : 7.33% |
