Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
40.24% | 24.1% | 35.66% |
Both teams to score 60.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.49% | 41.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.09% | 63.91% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.21% | 20.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.55% | 53.45% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.91% | 23.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.07% | 56.93% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 8.68% 1-0 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.92% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.82% Total : 40.24% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 6.36% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 8.1% 0-1 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 3.96% 2-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 28 |
2 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
5 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
7 | AC Milan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |