Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
| 40.24% | 24.1% | 35.66% |
| Both teams to score 60.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.49% | 41.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.09% | 63.91% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.21% | 20.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.55% | 53.45% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% | 23.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.07% | 56.93% |
| Score Analysis |
AC Milan 40.24%
Napoli 35.66%
Draw 24.1%
| AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% 1-0 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.92% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.82% Total : 40.24% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 6.36% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 8.1% 0-1 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 3.96% 2-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.66% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Napoli
AC Milan
68.5%Draw
15.5%Napoli
16.0%181
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
1-3
AC Milan
Ibrahimovic (20', 54'), Petter Hauge (90+5')
Calabria (47'), Rebic (59'), Kessie (76'), Castillejo (85')
Calabria (47'), Rebic (59'), Kessie (76'), Castillejo (85')
Jul 12, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 32
Napoli
2-2
AC Milan
Nov 23, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 13
AC Milan
1-1
Napoli
Jan 29, 2019 7.45pm
Jan 26, 2019 7.30pm
