Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Napoli |
19.99% ( -0.32) | 23.41% ( 0) | 56.6% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 50.43% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.56% ( -0.43) | 49.43% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.52% ( -0.38) | 71.47% ( 0.39) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.95% ( -0.58) | 39.04% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.23% ( -0.56) | 75.76% ( 0.56) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.74% ( -0.04) | 17.26% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.41% ( -0.07) | 47.59% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.42% Total : 19.99% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 10.39% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.09% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 56.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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