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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Napoli logo

Empoli
1 - 0
Napoli

Cerri (4')
Pezzella (54'), Bereszynski (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jesus (37'), Ngonge (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Empoli
Saturday, April 13 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-2 Frosinone
Sunday, April 14 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-2 Napoli

Though not as accurate as they would like, Napoli have attempted the most shots in Serie A this season; by contrast, Empoli have faced the second-most. That should indicate the likely direction of play at Stadio Castellani, but it may still be only one goal that splits these sides by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawNapoli
19.99% (-0.325 -0.32) 23.41% (0.0040000000000013 0) 56.6% (0.327 0.33)
Both teams to score 50.43% (-0.509 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)49.43% (0.431 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (-0.383 -0.38)71.47% (0.389 0.39)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.95% (-0.58499999999999 -0.58)39.04% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.23% (-0.556 -0.56)75.76% (0.562 0.56)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)17.26% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.41% (-0.067 -0.07)47.59% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 19.99%
    Napoli 56.59%
    Draw 23.41%
EmpoliDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 6.34% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.24% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 2.98% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.64% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 19.99%
1-1 @ 11.13%
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.117 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 11.84% (0.2 0.2)
0-2 @ 10.39% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.09% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.73% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.67% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.94% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 56.59%

How you voted: Empoli vs Napoli

Empoli
10.6%
Draw
15.2%
Napoli
74.2%
66
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Napoli
0-1
Empoli

Cajuste (90+3')
Kovalenko (90+1')
Cancellieri (78')
Feb 25, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 24
Empoli
0-2
Napoli
Ismajli (17' og.), Osimhen (28')
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Napoli
2-0
Empoli
Lozano (69' pen.), Zielinski (88')
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 34
Empoli
3-2
Napoli
Henderson (80'), Pinamonti (83', 88')
Bandinelli (4'), Viti (73'), Stojanovic (81'), Pinamonti (89')
Mertens (44'), Insigne (53')
Zanoli (22')
Dec 12, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 17
Napoli
0-1
Empoli
Cutrone (70')
Zurkowski (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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