Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Atalanta BC |
36.08% ( 0.08) | 27.1% ( 0.04) | 36.82% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 50.61% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.24% ( -0.15) | 54.76% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.93% ( -0.13) | 76.07% ( 0.12) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.91% ( -0.02) | 29.08% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35% ( -0.03) | 65% ( 0.03) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.36% ( -0.15) | 28.64% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.55% ( -0.18) | 64.45% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.07% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
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