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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Atalanta logo

Empoli
0 - 3
Atalanta


Maleh (33'), Cacace (35'), Gyasi (69'), Fazzini (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Scamacca (5', 51'), Koopmeiners (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-2 Empoli
Monday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-2 Atalanta
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Empoli 1-2 Atalanta BC

With just one loss in their last eight outings, Atalanta are beginning to build the consistency that has been lacking over the past couple of years, and the task of taking three points home from Tuscany is well within their grasp. An improved back line allied to more attacking options means that La Dea should have too much firepower for Empoli to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawAtalanta BC
21.12% (0.072000000000003 0.07) 24.13% (0.16 0.16) 54.74% (-0.237 -0.24)
Both teams to score 49.9% (-0.38699999999999 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.01% (-0.565 -0.57)50.98% (0.562 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.14% (-0.498 -0.5)72.85% (0.495 0.5)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24% (-0.248 -0.25)38.75% (0.244 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.51% (-0.235 -0.23)75.49% (0.232 0.23)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (-0.304 -0.3)18.52% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.24% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)49.75% (0.505 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 21.12%
    Atalanta BC 54.73%
    Draw 24.13%
EmpoliDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 6.8% (0.107 0.11)
2-1 @ 5.44% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 3.23% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 21.12%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.18% (0.161 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 12.1% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 10.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.74% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.44% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.29% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 54.73%

How you voted: Empoli vs Atalanta

Empoli
15.5%
Draw
15.5%
Atalanta BC
69.0%
129
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Atalanta
2-1
Empoli
De Roon (58'), Hojlund (86')
Ebuehi (44')
Oct 30, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Empoli
0-2
Atalanta
Hateboer (32'), Lookman (59')
May 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Atalanta
0-1
Empoli

Freuler (58')
Stulac (79')
Stojanovic (45')
Oct 17, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 8
Empoli
1-4
Atalanta
Di Francesco (30')
Marchizza (37'), Stulac (46'), Bandinelli (67')
Ilicic (11', 26'), Viti (49' og.), Zapata (89')
Freuler (70'), Luis Palomino (80')
Apr 15, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
Atalanta
0-0
Empoli
Dell'Orco (29'), Bennacer (45'), Veseli (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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