Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lazio 3-2 Atalanta
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 AC Milan
Saturday, October 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, October 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Atalanta BC 1-0 Genoa
Boosting morale before a trip to Austria in midweek, Atalanta can get back into action with another home win. Having occasionally struggled to produce their best in Bergamo over the past year, they are much-improved at the Gewiss Stadium this term and should be able to see off hit-and-miss Genoa. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 14.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Genoa |
63.94% ( 0.1) | 21.3% ( -0.29) | 14.76% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 46.73% ( 1.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.96% ( 1.54) | 49.04% ( -1.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.88% ( 1.38) | 71.12% ( -1.37) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.33% ( 0.54) | 14.66% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.18% ( 1.02) | 42.81% ( -1.02) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.76% ( 1.22) | 45.23% ( -1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.88% ( 0.95) | 81.12% ( -0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC 63.93%
Genoa 14.76%
Draw 21.3%
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% ( -0.57) 2-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.3)2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.29% Total : 63.93% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.3% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.33% Total : 14.76% |
How you voted: Atalanta vs Genoa
Atalanta BC
83.6%Draw
9.1%Genoa
7.3%55
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 5pm
Dec 21, 2021 7.45pm
May 15, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 37
Genoa
3-4
Atalanta
Jan 17, 2021 5pm
