Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino1 - 0Genoa
We said: Torino 1-0 Genoa
Torino's search for a first league win could end on Sunday evening, as they come up against a Genoa side likely to concede the ball and frustrate them. It may well be one goal that decides a close-fought game, and having just bolstered their front line, Toro should score it. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 45.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 26.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Genoa |
45.96% ( 0.43) | 27.86% ( -0.09) | 26.18% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 44.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
