Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino1 - 0Genoa
We said: Torino 1-0 Genoa
Torino's search for a first league win could end on Sunday evening, as they come up against a Genoa side likely to concede the ball and frustrate them. It may well be one goal that decides a close-fought game, and having just bolstered their front line, Toro should score it. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 45.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 26.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Genoa |
45.96% ( 0.43) | 27.86% ( -0.09) | 26.18% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 44.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.57% ( 0.12) | 60.43% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.43% ( 0.09) | 80.57% ( -0.09) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% ( 0.28) | 26.32% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.55% ( 0.37) | 61.45% ( -0.37) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.69% ( -0.23) | 39.31% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.99% ( -0.21) | 76.01% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
Torino 45.95%
Genoa 26.18%
Draw 27.85%
| Torino | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 13.8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.96% Total : 45.95% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 26.18% |
How you voted: Torino vs Genoa
Torino
55.0%Draw
30.0%Genoa
15.0%20
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 22
Torino
0-0
Genoa
Nov 4, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 3
Genoa
1-2
Torino
Jul 16, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Torino
3-0
Genoa
