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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Gewiss Stadium
Inter logo

Atalanta
2 - 3
Inter Milan

Lookman (25' pen.), Luis Palomino (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dzeko (36', 56'), Luis Palomino (61' og.)
de Vrij (74'), Skriniar (85'), Onana (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Atalanta
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 6-1 Bologna
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-2 Inter Milan

Atalanta have endured a tough year on home soil and often come up just short against Serie A's top sides. As Inter have just smashed Bologna and - Lukaku aside - are almost at full strength, they can close out the first part of their campaign with a win against their fellow Nerazzuri. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawInter Milan
42.4% (1.352 1.35) 24.09% (-0.11 -0.11) 33.5% (-1.246 -1.25)
Both teams to score 60.42% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.06% (0.21400000000001 0.21)41.93% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.66% (0.214 0.21)64.34% (-0.217 -0.22)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (0.702 0.7)19.99% (-0.703 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.83% (1.119 1.12)52.16% (-1.121 -1.12)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.51% (-0.605 -0.61)24.49% (0.602 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.06% (-0.858 -0.86)58.94% (0.856 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 42.4%
    Inter Milan 33.51%
    Draw 24.08%
Atalanta BCDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.144 0.14)
1-0 @ 7.88% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.34% (0.211 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.79% (0.179 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.184 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.102 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 42.4%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.51%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Inter Milan

Atalanta BC
21.6%
Draw
17.2%
Inter Milan
61.3%
204
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 25, 2021 5pm
Inter Milan
2-2
Atalanta
Martinez (5'), Dzeko (71')
Bastoni (12'), Calhanoglu (43'), Barella (70')
Malinovskyi (30'), Toloi (38')
Malinovskyi (4'), Luis Palomino (19'), Zapata (21'), Zappacosta (64'), Toloi (90')
Mar 8, 2021 7.45pm
Nov 8, 2020 2pm
Aug 1, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7AC Milan187742718928
8Bologna177732521428
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma196582624223
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza1917111727-1010


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