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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Gewiss Stadium
Inter logo

Atalanta
2 - 3
Inter Milan

Lookman (25' pen.), Luis Palomino (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dzeko (36', 56'), Luis Palomino (61' og.)
de Vrij (74'), Skriniar (85'), Onana (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Atalanta
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 6-1 Bologna
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-2 Inter Milan

Atalanta have endured a tough year on home soil and often come up just short against Serie A's top sides. As Inter have just smashed Bologna and - Lukaku aside - are almost at full strength, they can close out the first part of their campaign with a win against their fellow Nerazzuri. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawInter Milan
42.4% (1.352 1.35) 24.09% (-0.11 -0.11) 33.5% (-1.246 -1.25)
Both teams to score 60.42% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.06% (0.21400000000001 0.21)41.93% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.66% (0.214 0.21)64.34% (-0.217 -0.22)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (0.702 0.7)19.99% (-0.703 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.83% (1.119 1.12)52.16% (-1.121 -1.12)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.51% (-0.605 -0.61)24.49% (0.602 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.06% (-0.858 -0.86)58.94% (0.856 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 42.4%
    Inter Milan 33.51%
    Draw 24.08%
Atalanta BCDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.144 0.14)
1-0 @ 7.88% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.34% (0.211 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.79% (0.179 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.184 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.102 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 42.4%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.51%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Inter Milan

Atalanta BC
21.6%
Draw
17.2%
Inter Milan
61.3%
204
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 25, 2021 5pm
Inter Milan
2-2
Atalanta
Martinez (5'), Dzeko (71')
Bastoni (12'), Calhanoglu (43'), Barella (70')
Malinovskyi (30'), Toloi (38')
Malinovskyi (4'), Luis Palomino (19'), Zapata (21'), Zappacosta (64'), Toloi (90')
Mar 8, 2021 7.45pm
Nov 8, 2020 2pm
Aug 1, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli1410222191232
2Atalanta BCAtalanta14101336162031
3Inter Milan1384131141728
4Fiorentina1384127101728
5Lazio1491429171228
6Juventus146802281426
7AC Milan136432314922
8Bologna135621816221
9Udinese145271621-517
10Empoli143741014-416
11Parma143652022-215
12Torino144371620-415
13CagliariCagliari143561524-914
14Genoa143561324-1114
15Roma143471420-613
16Lecce14347722-1513
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1440101733-1612
18Como142571426-1211
19Monza141761217-510
20VeneziaVenezia1422101125-148


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