Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta2 - 3Inter Milan
Lookman (25' pen.), Luis Palomino (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Atalanta
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 6-1 Bologna
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Atalanta BC 1-2 Inter Milan
Atalanta have endured a tough year on home soil and often come up just short against Serie A's top sides. As Inter have just smashed Bologna and - Lukaku aside - are almost at full strength, they can close out the first part of their campaign with a win against their fellow Nerazzuri. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Inter Milan |
42.4% ( 1.35) | 24.09% ( -0.11) | 33.5% ( -1.25) |
| Both teams to score 60.42% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.06% ( 0.21) | 41.93% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.66% ( 0.21) | 64.34% ( -0.22) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.01% ( 0.7) | 19.99% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.83% ( 1.12) | 52.16% ( -1.12) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.51% ( -0.61) | 24.49% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.06% ( -0.86) | 58.94% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC 42.4%
Inter Milan 33.51%
Draw 24.08%
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.03% Total : 42.4% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.51% |
How you voted: Atalanta vs Inter Milan
Atalanta BC
21.6%Draw
17.2%Inter Milan
61.3%204
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 25, 2021 5pm
Inter Milan
2-2
Atalanta
Malinovskyi (30'), Toloi (38')
Malinovskyi (4'), Luis Palomino (19'), Zapata (21'), Zappacosta (64'), Toloi (90')
Malinovskyi (4'), Luis Palomino (19'), Zapata (21'), Zappacosta (64'), Toloi (90')
Mar 8, 2021 7.45pm
Aug 1, 2020 7.45pm
Form Guide
