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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Napoli logo

Atalanta
1 - 2
Napoli

Lookman (19' pen.)
Demiral (36'), Hojlund (58'), Maehle (90+2'), Toloi (90+3'), Zapata (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Osimhen (23'), Elmas (35')
Min-jae (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Atalanta
Sunday, October 30 at 11.30am in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Napoli
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Atalanta BC 1-2 Napoli

 Atalanta have found the net in each of their last eight league games against Napoli - and Bologna, Ajax, and now Liverpool have each scored twice against the Serie A leaders over the past few weeks. However, the Azzurri's formidable firepower at the other end means they can breach their hosts' mean defence more than once and secure a ninth straight league win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
30.42% (0.532 0.53) 24.44% (0.213 0.21) 45.14% (-0.737 -0.74)
Both teams to score 57.79% (-0.423 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.2% (-0.689 -0.69)44.8% (0.698 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.84% (-0.669 -0.67)67.15% (0.676 0.68)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)27.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)63.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03% (-0.59 -0.59)19.97% (0.597 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.86% (-0.964 -0.96)52.14% (0.971 0.97)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 30.42%
    Napoli 45.14%
    Draw 24.44%
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.11% (0.212 0.21)
2-0 @ 4.55% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.42%
1-1 @ 11.44% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.165 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 9.22% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.2% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.95% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.87% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 45.14%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Napoli

Atalanta BC
18.2%
Draw
13.0%
Napoli
68.8%
253
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Atalanta
1-3
Napoli
De Roon (58')
Luis Palomino (35'), de Roon (86')
Insigne (14' pen.), Politano (37'), Elmas (81')
Jesus (67'), Ospina (76'), Zambo Anguissa (85')
Dec 4, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
2-3
Atalanta
Zielinski (40'), Mertens (47')
Rrahmani (58'), Malcuit (64')
Malinovskyi (7'), Demiral (66'), Freuler (71')
Malinovskyi (17'), Pasalic (82'), Djimsiti (87')
Feb 21, 2021 5pm
Atalanta
4-2
Napoli
Zapata (52'), Gosens (64'), Muriel (71'), Romero (79')
Djimsiti (55'), Gosens (87')
Piero Gasperini (26')
Zielinski (58'), Gosens (76' og.)
Di Lorenzo (6')
Feb 10, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
3-1
Napoli
Zapata (10'), Pessina (16', 78')
Luis Palomino (7')
Lozano (53')
Hysaj (25'), Zielinski (57'), Di Lorenzo (75'), Insigne (90+2')
Feb 3, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
0-0
Atalanta

Koulibaly (88')

Romero (64')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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