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Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Napoli logo

Atalanta
1 - 2
Napoli

Lookman (19' pen.)
Demiral (36'), Hojlund (58'), Maehle (90+2'), Toloi (90+3'), Zapata (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Osimhen (23'), Elmas (35')
Min-jae (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Atalanta
Sunday, October 30 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Napoli
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Atalanta BC 1-2 Napoli

Atalanta have found the net in each of their last eight league games against Napoli - and Bologna, Ajax, and now Liverpool have each scored twice against the Serie A leaders over the past few weeks. However, the Azzurri's formidable firepower at the other end means they can breach their hosts' mean defence more than once and secure a ninth straight league win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
30.42% (0.532 0.53) 24.44% (0.213 0.21) 45.14% (-0.737 -0.74)
Both teams to score 57.79% (-0.423 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.2% (-0.689 -0.69)44.8% (0.698 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.84% (-0.669 -0.67)67.15% (0.676 0.68)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)27.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)63.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03% (-0.59 -0.59)19.97% (0.597 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.86% (-0.964 -0.96)52.14% (0.971 0.97)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 30.42%
    Napoli 45.14%
    Draw 24.44%
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.11% (0.212 0.21)
2-0 @ 4.55% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.42%
1-1 @ 11.44% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.165 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 9.22% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.2% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.95% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.87% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 45.14%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Napoli

Atalanta BC
18.2%
Draw
13.0%
Napoli
68.8%
253
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Atalanta
1-3
Napoli
De Roon (58')
Luis Palomino (35'), de Roon (86')
Insigne (14' pen.), Politano (37'), Elmas (81')
Jesus (67'), Ospina (76'), Zambo Anguissa (85')
Dec 4, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
2-3
Atalanta
Zielinski (40'), Mertens (47')
Rrahmani (58'), Malcuit (64')
Malinovskyi (7'), Demiral (66'), Freuler (71')
Malinovskyi (17'), Pasalic (82'), Djimsiti (87')
Feb 21, 2021 5pm
Atalanta
4-2
Napoli
Zapata (52'), Gosens (64'), Muriel (71'), Romero (79')
Djimsiti (55'), Gosens (87')
Piero Gasperini (26')
Zielinski (58'), Gosens (76' og.)
Di Lorenzo (6')
Feb 10, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
3-1
Napoli
Zapata (10'), Pessina (16', 78')
Luis Palomino (7')
Lozano (53')
Hysaj (25'), Zielinski (57'), Di Lorenzo (75'), Insigne (90+2')
Feb 3, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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