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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Sampdoria logo

Inter Milan
3 - 0
Sampdoria

de Vrij (21'), Barella (44'), Correa (73')
Bastoni (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Yepes (19'), Colley (40'), Duricic (52'), Verre (57'), Gabbiadini (61'), Amione (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Plzen
Wednesday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Sampdoria

Inter are drawless in their last 20 league games - their longest such run since the 1940s - while Samp have scored the fewest Serie A goals this season. Not surprisingly, then, a home win appears to be on the cards, with Lukaku's return occurring just in time to match a Martinez hot-streak. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 77.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.77%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSampdoria
77.79% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 14.35% (0.012 0.01) 7.87% (0.014 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.44% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.53% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)36.47% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)58.61% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)7.61% (0.008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.78% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)27.22% (0.02 0.02)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.27% (0.022000000000006 0.02)49.73% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.53% (0.016999999999999 0.02)84.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 77.77%
    Sampdoria 7.87%
    Draw 14.35%
Inter MilanDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 12.55%
3-0 @ 10.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.75% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.53%
4-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 3.57% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.53% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 77.77%
1-1 @ 6.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-2 @ 3.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 14.35%
0-1 @ 2.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 7.87%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Sampdoria

Inter Milan
94.7%
Draw
2.6%
Sampdoria
2.6%
114
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 5pm
Inter Milan
3-0
Sampdoria
Perisic (49'), Correa (55', 57')
Barella (30')

Yoshida (5'), Ferrari (66')
Sep 12, 2021 11.30am
Sampdoria
2-2
Inter Milan
Yoshida (32'), Augello (47')
Thorsby (35'), Bereszynski (67'), Colley (82'), Silva (88')
Dimarco (18'), Martinez (44')
Brozovic (22'), Dzeko (89'), Correa (90'), Vidal (90+3')
May 8, 2021 5pm
Inter Milan
5-1
Sampdoria
Gagliardini (4'), Sanchez (26', 36'), Pinamonti (61'), Martinez (70' pen.)
Balde (35')
Tonelli (31'), Silva (68')
Jan 6, 2021 2pm
Sampdoria
2-1
Inter Milan
Candreva (23' pen.), Balde (38')
Thorsby (57'), Balde (84'), Askildsen (85')
De Vrij (65')
Martinez (16'), Barella (23'), de Vrij (40'), Hakimi (90+1')
Jun 21, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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