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Serie A
Juventus logo
Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Inter logo

Juventus
2 - 0
Inter Milan

Rabiot (52'), Fagioli (84')
Danilo (77'), Szczesny (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Calhanoglu (56'), Skriniar (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Derby d'Italia between Juventus and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-2 PSG
Wednesday, November 2 at 8pm in Champions League

Inter Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Juventus 1-0 Inter Milan

 Both sides have finally produced some consistent results in Serie A, but find themselves off the pace at the summit of the standings. Juve are accustomed to snatching the odd goal and grinding out ugly wins, and they can pull that trick off again versus Inter, with several players returning to the squad just in time for the Derby d'Italia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.44%) and 0-2 (5.43%). The likeliest Juventus win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawInter Milan
36.19% (-0.236 -0.24) 23.13% (0.137 0.14) 40.68% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Both teams to score 64.67% (-0.575 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.34% (-0.735 -0.73)36.66% (0.737 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.18% (-0.805 -0.81)58.82% (0.808 0.81)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (-0.44499999999999 -0.44)20.61% (0.447 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84% (-0.709 -0.71)53.16% (0.711 0.71)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.46% (-0.265 -0.27)18.54% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.22% (-0.45 -0.45)49.78% (0.452 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 36.19%
    Inter Milan 40.68%
    Draw 23.13%
JuventusDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 6.04% (0.135 0.14)
2-0 @ 4.77% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 36.19%
1-1 @ 10.17% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.77% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.82% (0.136 0.14)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.44% (0.177 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.81% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.8% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 40.68%

How you voted: Juventus vs Inter Milan

Juventus
38.6%
Draw
14.4%
Inter Milan
47.0%
334
Head to Head
May 11, 2022 8pm
Juventus
2-4
Inter Milan
Sandro (50'), Vlahovic (52')
Allegri (83'), Locatelli (90+2')
Allegri (104')
Barella (7'), Calhanoglu (80' pen.), Perisic (98' pen., 102')
Brozovic (55'), Vidal (119')
Apr 3, 2022 7.45pm
Juventus
0-1
Inter Milan

Rabiot (15'), Locatelli (27'), Morata (45+1'), Cuadrado (45+4')
Calhanoglu (45+5' pen.)
Martinez (2'), Skriniar (45+4'), Perisic (75'), Calhanoglu (76')
Jan 12, 2022 8pm
Inter Milan
2-1
Juventus
Martinez (35' pen.), Sanchez (120')
Dzeko (60'), Correa (106'), Vidal (118'), Sanchez (120')
McKennie (25')
Bernardeschi (43'), Dybala (105'), Rugani (109')
Oct 24, 2021 7.45pm
Inter Milan
1-1
Juventus
Dzeko (17')
Barella (40'), Perisic (71')
Inzaghi (89')
Dybala (89' pen.)
Sandro (44'), Chiellini (90+5')
May 15, 2021 5pm
Juventus
3-2
Inter Milan
Ronaldo (24'), Cuadrado (45+3', 88' pen.)
Kulusevski (13'), Bentancur (20'), Chiellini (85'), Cuadrado (90')
Bentancur (55')
Lukaku (35' pen.), Chiellini (83' og.)
Darmian (23'), Martinez (74'), Bastoni (77'), Brozovic (88')
Brozovic (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli1410222191232
2Atalanta BCAtalanta14101336162031
3Inter Milan1384131141728
4Fiorentina1384127101728
5Lazio1491429171228
6Juventus146802281426
7AC Milan136432314922
8Bologna135621816221
9Udinese145271621-517
10Empoli143741014-416
11Parma143652022-215
12Torino144371620-415
13CagliariCagliari143561524-914
14Genoa143561324-1114
15Roma143471420-613
16Lecce14347722-1513
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1440101733-1612
18Como142571426-1211
19Monza141761217-510
20VeneziaVenezia1422101125-148
> Serie A Full Table


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