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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Milan logo

Cagliari
1 - 3
AC Milan

Luvumbo (29')
Wieteska (42'), Zappa (53'), Oristanio (78')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Okafor (40'), Tomori (45'), Loftus-Cheek (60')
Loftus-Cheek (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Cagliari
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 0-3 AC Milan

Given that Cagliari have scored just one goal across five games without tasting victory this season, we expect AC Milan to cruise to a comfortable victory at the Unipol Domus on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawAC Milan
36.24%27.31%36.44% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 49.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.4% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.59% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.6% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)29.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.61% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)65.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)29.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.23% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 36.24%
    AC Milan 36.44%
    Draw 27.31%
CagliariDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 36.24%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 10.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.49%
1-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.44%

How you voted: Cagliari vs AC Milan

Cagliari
5.5%
Draw
9.9%
AC Milan
84.6%
91
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
AC Milan
4-1
Cagliari
Tonali (12'), Leao (17'), Giroud (24', 43' pen.)
Diaz (73')
Deiola (15')
Henrique (5'), Deiola (38'), Strootman (41'), Godin (62'), Nandez (84')
May 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
AC Milan
0-0
Cagliari
Kjaer (33'), Calabria (58')
Marin (40'), Carboni (45+1')
Jan 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Cagliari
0-2
AC Milan

Godin (83'), Ceppitelli (88')
Ibrahimovic (7' pen., 52')
Romagnoli (39'), Saelemaekers (68')
Saelemaekers (74')
Aug 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
AC Milan
3-0
Cagliari
Klavan (11' og.), Ibrahimovic (55'), Castillejo (57')
Saelemaekers (67')

Pereiro (13'), Farago (45'), Cragno (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese207582328-526
11Genoa215881830-1223
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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