Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | AC Milan |
36.24% | 27.31% | 36.44% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 49.93% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.4% ( -0) | 55.59% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.24% ( -0) | 76.76% ( 0) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.6% ( -0) | 29.39% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.61% ( -0) | 65.38% ( 0) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.72% ( -0) | 29.27% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.76% ( -0.01) | 65.23% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.24% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |