Cremonese

0 - 2

Fiorentina

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 22.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Cremonese win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.