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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Fiorentina logo

Hellas Verona
0 - 3
Fiorentina


Doig (24'), Faraoni (34'), Braaf (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Barak (12'), Cabral (38'), Biraghi (89')
Julio (27'), Barak (29'), Amrabat (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, February 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Braga
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Hellas Verona 1-1 Fiorentina

The ultimate 'Jekyll and Hyde' team, in terms of their contrasting fortunes in Serie A and in Europe, Fiorentina can barely buy a goal domestically yet score freely in the Conference League. Up against Verona's once-suspect defence, which has improved dramatically since the winter break, they are likely to find the going tough so may take only one point back to Florence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawFiorentina
26.62% (-0.064 -0.06) 26.28% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09) 47.11% (0.155 0.16)
Both teams to score 49.42% (0.215 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (0.30399999999999 0.3)54.55% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (0.252 0.25)75.9% (-0.251 -0.25)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.3% (0.111 0.11)35.7% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.53% (0.114 0.11)72.47% (-0.113 -0.11)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (0.202 0.2)23.15% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.98% (0.295 0.3)57.03% (-0.294 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 26.62%
    Fiorentina 47.11%
    Draw 26.27%
Hellas VeronaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.42% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 4.39% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.51% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 26.62%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 12.09% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.85% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-3 @ 4.44% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.31% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.025 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.58% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 47.11%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina

Hellas Verona
27.2%
Draw
28.5%
Fiorentina
44.4%
151
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Mar 6, 2022 2pm
Fiorentina
1-1
Hellas Verona
Piatek (10')
Italiano (86')
Caprari (20' pen.)
Gunter (37'), Simeone (56'), Ceccherini (72'), Bessa (82')
Dec 22, 2021 5.30pm
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Hellas Verona
1-2
Fiorentina
Salcedo (72')
Gunter (68'), Sturaro (90+1')
Vlahovic (45+2' pen.), Caceres (65')
Bonaventura (19'), Kouame (90+3'), Martinez (90+5')
Dec 19, 2020 2pm
Fiorentina
1-1
Hellas Verona
Vlahovic (19' pen.)
Bonaventura (14'), Julio (69'), Prandelli (75')
Veloso (8' pen.)
Dimarco (27'), Juric (32'), Ceccherini (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna187832723429
8AC Milan187742718928
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza1917111727-1010


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