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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Fiorentina logo

Hellas Verona
0 - 3
Fiorentina


Doig (24'), Faraoni (34'), Braaf (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Barak (12'), Cabral (38'), Biraghi (89')
Julio (27'), Barak (29'), Amrabat (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, February 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Braga
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Hellas Verona 1-1 Fiorentina

The ultimate 'Jekyll and Hyde' team, in terms of their contrasting fortunes in Serie A and in Europe, Fiorentina can barely buy a goal domestically yet score freely in the Conference League. Up against Verona's once-suspect defence, which has improved dramatically since the winter break, they are likely to find the going tough so may take only one point back to Florence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawFiorentina
26.62% (-0.064 -0.06) 26.28% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09) 47.11% (0.155 0.16)
Both teams to score 49.42% (0.215 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (0.30399999999999 0.3)54.55% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (0.252 0.25)75.9% (-0.251 -0.25)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.3% (0.111 0.11)35.7% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.53% (0.114 0.11)72.47% (-0.113 -0.11)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (0.202 0.2)23.15% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.98% (0.295 0.3)57.03% (-0.294 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 26.62%
    Fiorentina 47.11%
    Draw 26.27%
Hellas VeronaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.42% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 4.39% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.51% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 26.62%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 12.09% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.85% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-3 @ 4.44% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.31% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.025 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.58% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 47.11%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina

Hellas Verona
27.2%
Draw
28.5%
Fiorentina
44.4%
151
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Mar 6, 2022 2pm
Fiorentina
1-1
Hellas Verona
Piatek (10')
Italiano (86')
Caprari (20' pen.)
Gunter (37'), Simeone (56'), Ceccherini (72'), Bessa (82')
Dec 22, 2021 5.30pm
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Hellas Verona
1-2
Fiorentina
Salcedo (72')
Gunter (68'), Sturaro (90+1')
Vlahovic (45+2' pen.), Caceres (65')
Bonaventura (19'), Kouame (90+3'), Martinez (90+5')
Dec 19, 2020 2pm
Fiorentina
1-1
Hellas Verona
Vlahovic (19' pen.)
Bonaventura (14'), Julio (69'), Prandelli (75')
Veloso (8' pen.)
Dimarco (27'), Juric (32'), Ceccherini (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Como2257102736-922
14Empoli224992129-821
15CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
16Parma2248102839-1120
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
18Lecce2255121540-2520
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313


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