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Serie A
Hellas Verona logo
Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Fiorentina logo

Hellas Verona
0 - 3
Fiorentina


Doig (24'), Faraoni (34'), Braaf (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Barak (12'), Cabral (38'), Biraghi (89')
Julio (27'), Barak (29'), Amrabat (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, February 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Braga
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Hellas Verona 1-1 Fiorentina

 The ultimate 'Jekyll and Hyde' team, in terms of their contrasting fortunes in Serie A and in Europe, Fiorentina can barely buy a goal domestically yet score freely in the Conference League. Up against Verona's once-suspect defence, which has improved dramatically since the winter break, they are likely to find the going tough so may take only one point back to Florence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawFiorentina
26.62% (-0.064 -0.06) 26.28% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09) 47.11% (0.155 0.16)
Both teams to score 49.42% (0.215 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (0.30399999999999 0.3)54.55% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (0.252 0.25)75.9% (-0.251 -0.25)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.3% (0.111 0.11)35.7% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.53% (0.114 0.11)72.47% (-0.113 -0.11)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (0.202 0.2)23.15% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.98% (0.295 0.3)57.03% (-0.294 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 26.62%
    Fiorentina 47.11%
    Draw 26.27%
Hellas VeronaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.42% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 4.39% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.51% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 26.62%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 12.09% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.85% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-3 @ 4.44% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.31% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.025 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.58% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 47.11%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina

Hellas Verona
27.2%
Draw
28.5%
Fiorentina
44.4%
151
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Fiorentina
2-0
Hellas Verona
Ikone (13'), Gonzalez (90')
Mandragora (23')
Mar 6, 2022 2pm
Fiorentina
1-1
Hellas Verona
Piatek (10')
Italiano (86')
Caprari (20' pen.)
Gunter (37'), Simeone (56'), Ceccherini (72'), Bessa (82')
Dec 22, 2021 5.30pm
Hellas Verona
1-1
Fiorentina
Lasagna (17')
Caprari (46'), Ilic (47')
Castrovilli (81')
Terzic (84')
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Hellas Verona
1-2
Fiorentina
Salcedo (72')
Gunter (68'), Sturaro (90+1')
Vlahovic (45+2' pen.), Caceres (65')
Bonaventura (19'), Kouame (90+3'), Martinez (90+5')
Dec 19, 2020 2pm
Fiorentina
1-1
Hellas Verona
Vlahovic (19' pen.)
Bonaventura (14'), Julio (69'), Prandelli (75')
Veloso (8' pen.)
Dimarco (27'), Juric (32'), Ceccherini (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna371814554302468
4Juventus371814552312168
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37910183649-1337
14Lecce37813163254-2237
15CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
16FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana37210252978-4916
> Serie A Full Table


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