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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lazio logo

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Lazio

Martinez (77', 90'), Gosens (83')
D'Ambrosio (35'), Bastoni (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anderson (30')
Zaccagni (20'), Marusic (81'), Alberto (83'), Romagnoli (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Juventus
Wednesday, April 26 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lazio 0-1 Torino
Saturday, April 22 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 1-2 Lazio

After a 3-1 win in August's reverse fixture, Lazio can do the double over Inter, who have repeatedly stumbled in the league and seem distracted by their cup commitments. Maurizio Sarri is set to secure his 150th Serie A victory; taking his team one step closer to Champions League football in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawLazio
44.8% (-0.406 -0.41) 26.74% (0.029 0.03) 28.45% (0.375 0.38)
Both teams to score 49.3% (0.14 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.69% (0.070999999999998 0.07)55.31% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47% (0.058 0.06)76.53% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (-0.167 -0.17)24.58% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (-0.235 -0.23)59.07% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (0.331 0.33)34.63% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (0.351 0.35)71.35% (-0.352 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 44.8%
    Lazio 28.45%
    Draw 26.74%
Inter MilanDrawLazio
1-0 @ 11.94% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 44.8%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 28.45%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Lazio

Inter Milan
41.0%
Draw
20.0%
Lazio
39.0%
105
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Lazio
3-1
Inter Milan
Anderson (40'), Alberto (75'), Pedro (86')
Zaccagni (56'), Marusic (64')
Martinez (51')
Brozovic (84')
Jan 9, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Inter Milan
2-1
Lazio
Bastoni (30'), Skriniar (67')
Vidal (90')
Immobile (35')
Felipe (40'), Basic (54'), Radu (71'), Zaccagni (72')
Oct 16, 2021 5pm
gameweek 8
Lazio
3-1
Inter Milan
Immobile (64' pen.), Anderson (81'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+1')
Basic (27'), Milinkovic-Savic (83'), Anderson (83')
Felipe (90+7')
Perisic (12' pen.)
Gagliardini (36'), Bastoni (63'), Martinez (83'), Dumfries (83'), Correa (87'), Darmian (90+1')
Feb 14, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 22
Inter Milan
3-1
Lazio
Lukaku (22' pen., 45'), Martinez (64')
Lukaku (26'), Hakimi (59')
Oct 4, 2020 2pm
gameweek 3
Lazio
1-1
Inter Milan
Milinkovic-Savic (55')
Fares (37'), S (43'), Lazzari (79'), Patric (86')
Immobile (69')
Martinez (30')
Lukaku (42'), Vidal (70'), Young (78'), Barella (90+3')
Sensi (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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