Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Empoli win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
30.52% ( 0.49) | 23.44% ( -0.49) | 46.04% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 61.39% ( 2.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.91% ( 2.56) | 40.08% ( -2.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.54% ( 2.6) | 62.45% ( -2.6) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.6% ( 1.58) | 25.39% ( -1.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.8% ( 2.12) | 60.2% ( -2.13) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.28% ( 1.01) | 17.71% ( -1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.62% ( 1.72) | 48.37% ( -1.72) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.52% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.55) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.68) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.85% Total : 46.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |