Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Empoli |
70.93% ( 1.38) | 17.52% ( -0.49) | 11.55% ( -0.89) |
Both teams to score 50% ( -1.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.19% ( -0.06) | 39.81% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.83% ( -0.06) | 62.17% ( 0.06) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.01% ( 0.32) | 9.99% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.99% ( 0.74) | 33.01% ( -0.75) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.56% ( -1.52) | 44.44% ( 1.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.51% ( -1.26) | 80.49% ( 1.25) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Empoli |
2-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.3) 4-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.6% Total : 70.92% | 1-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.91% Total : 17.52% | 0-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.17% Total : 11.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |