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Serie A
Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Frosinone logo

Fiorentina
5 - 1
Frosinone

Belotti (16'), Ikone (19'), Martinez (43'), Gonzalez (53'), Barak (85')
Martinez (4'), Terracciano (69'), N'Zola (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Mazzitelli (66')
Romagnoli (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 3-2 Fiorentina
Friday, February 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Frosinone

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 2-3 AC Milan
Saturday, February 3 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Frosinone

 With Roma and Juventus to come next for Frosinone, there seems no end in sight to their spiral down the standings - and Fiorentina can get off the mark for 2024 at their expense. Neither side has been able to keep the back door shut of late, so several goals could be shared at Stadio Franchi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 15.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawFrosinone
65.42% (0.133 0.13) 19.48% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 15.1% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.5% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.55% (0.146 0.15)40.45% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.17% (0.152 0.15)62.82% (-0.155 -0.16)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.41% (0.078000000000003 0.08)11.58% (-0.083 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.44% (0.16999999999999 0.17)36.55% (-0.174 -0.17)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.5% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)39.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.81% (-0.004999999999999 -0)76.18%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 65.41%
    Frosinone 15.1%
    Draw 19.48%
FiorentinaDrawFrosinone
2-0 @ 10.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.64% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.1% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.12% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.82% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.77% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 65.41%
1-1 @ 9.16% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.48%
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.25% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42%
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 15.1%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Frosinone

Fiorentina
80.6%
Draw
14.5%
Frosinone
4.8%
62
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Frosinone
1-1
Fiorentina
Soule (70')
Mazzitelli (51'), Okoli (64'), Oyono (87')
Gonzalez (19')
Milenkovic (22'), Parisi (69'), Mandragora (90+1')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Fiorentina
0-1
Frosinone

Dabo (90')
Ciofani (84')
Beghetto (41'), Paganini (59'), Capuano (71'), Goldaniga (90')
Nov 9, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Frosinone
1-1
Fiorentina
Pinamonti (89')
Zampano (26'), Ariaudo (48'), Maiello (68')
Benassi (47')
Mar 20, 2016 2pm
Frosinone
0-0
Fiorentina
Ajeti (25'), Gori (35'), Kragl (82'), Sammarco (88')
Alonso (31'), Roncaglia (36'), Astori (49'), Kalinic (81')
Nov 1, 2015 11.30am
Fiorentina
4-1
Frosinone
Rebic (24'), Rodriguez (29'), Babacar (31' pen.), Suarez (43')
Frara (87')
Paganini (28')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1911263327635
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese197482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino195681924-521
12Empoli194871822-420
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Parma194782534-919
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
16Como184682030-1018
17CagliariCagliari1945101832-1417
18Lecce1945101131-2017
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010
> Serie A Full Table


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