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Serie A
Lecce logo
Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Fiorentina logo

Lecce
3 - 2
Fiorentina

Oudin (17'), Piccoli (90'), Dorgu (90+2')
Almqvist (50'), Banda (77'), Gendrey (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mandragora (50'), Beltran (67')
Martinez (15'), Ranieri (72'), Gonzalez (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Lecce
Sunday, January 28 at 11.30am in Serie A

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-1 Fiorentina

 D'Aversa is running out of time to turn Lecce's fortunes around, and another one or two bad results could see them drop into the bottom three, and this fixture looks difficult on paper. Fiorentina have been far from convincing in all competitions so far during 2024, but facing a side in much worse form should provide them with a good chance of winning, especially given the return of Gonzalez. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawFiorentina
27.65% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 26.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 45.82% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)54.93% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.78% (-0.026 -0.03)76.22% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)35.06% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19% (-0.032 -0.03)71.81% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)23.92% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)58.14% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 27.65%
    Fiorentina 45.81%
    Draw 26.53%
LecceDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 4.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 27.65%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 8.39% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 11.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-2 @ 8.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 45.81%

How you voted: Lecce vs Fiorentina

Lecce
11.5%
Draw
21.6%
Fiorentina
66.9%
139
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Fiorentina
2-2
Lecce
Gonzalez (3'), Duncan (25')
Martinez (59')
Rafia (49'), Krstovic (76')
Pongracic (15'), Gendrey (54'), Chinazaekpere Dorgu (63')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
Fiorentina
1-0
Lecce
Gallo (27' og.)
> Preview
Oct 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lecce
1-1
Fiorentina
Ceesay (43')
Kouame (48')
> Preview
Jul 15, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 33
Lecce
1-3
Fiorentina
> Preview
Nov 30, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
0-1
Lecce

Castrovilli (67')
La Mantia (49')
Rispoli (29'), Petriccione (60'), Rossettini (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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