Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 17.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-0 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Frosinone | Draw | Inter Milan |
17.21% ( -0.01) | 20.97% ( -0.01) | 61.82% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.23% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.82% ( 0.02) | 43.18% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.42% ( 0.02) | 65.58% ( -0.02) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.5% ( 0) | 38.51% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.75% ( 0) | 75.25% ( 0) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.57% ( 0.02) | 13.43% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.6% ( 0.03) | 40.41% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Frosinone | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 4.94% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.51% 3-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.17% Total : 17.21% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.97% | 0-2 @ 10.42% 0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-3 @ 6.97% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.66% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.5% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.41% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 61.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |