Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Frosinone |
63.55% ( 0.28) | 19.87% ( -0.13) | 16.57% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 55.66% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.68% ( 0.35) | 39.31% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.35% ( 0.36) | 61.65% ( -0.36) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.24% ( 0.18) | 11.75% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.08% ( 0.39) | 36.91% ( -0.38) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.07% ( 0.04) | 36.93% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.28% ( 0.04) | 73.72% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Frosinone |
2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.99% Total : 63.55% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.94% 0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.87% | 1-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 16.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 35 |
5 | Juventus | 18 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 32 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
9 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Torino | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 21 |
12 | Empoli | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Parma | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
16 | Como | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Lecce | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 17 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
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