Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Frosinone3 - 0Salernitana
FT(HT: 2-0)
The Match
Match Report
Salernitana are relegated from Serie A owing to a 3-0 loss at Frosinone, ending their three-year stay in the top flight of Italian football.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Frosinone
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, April 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, April 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Frosinone | Draw | Salernitana |
60.42% ( -0.31) | 21.04% ( 0.08) | 18.54% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 55.64% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.73% ( 0.04) | 41.27% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.33% ( 0.04) | 63.67% ( -0.04) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.75% ( -0.08) | 13.25% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.98% ( -0.16) | 40.02% ( 0.16) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.14% ( 0.29) | 35.86% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.36% ( 0.29) | 72.64% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
Frosinone 60.42%
Salernitana 18.54%
Draw 21.04%
| Frosinone | Draw | Salernitana |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.33% Total : 60.42% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.04% | 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.65% Total : 18.54% |
How you voted: Frosinone vs Salernitana
Frosinone
74.1%Draw
17.3%Salernitana
8.6%81
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 32
Salernitana
1-0
Frosinone
Dec 18, 2020 8pm
Feb 29, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 26
Frosinone
1-0
Salernitana
Form Guide
