Serie A | Gameweek 34
Jul 19, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Luigi Ferraris
Genoa2 - 1Lecce
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Genoa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Lecce |
| 50.69% | 23.69% | 25.61% |
| Both teams to score 56.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.36% | 44.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% | 67.01% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% | 17.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.71% | 48.29% |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% | 31.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.46% | 67.54% |
| Score Analysis |
Genoa 50.7%
Lecce 25.61%
Draw 23.69%
| Genoa | Draw | Lecce |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% 1-0 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 5.57% 3-0 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.71% Total : 50.7% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 5.62% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 6.48% 0-1 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.82% Total : 25.61% |
Head to Head
Aug 11, 2018 8.15pm
