Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Inter Milan |
27.52% ( -0.82) | 26.6% ( 0) | 45.89% ( 0.81) |
Both teams to score 49.14% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.77% ( -0.45) | 55.23% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.54% ( -0.37) | 76.46% ( 0.37) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.68% ( -0.89) | 35.32% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.92% ( -0.94) | 72.08% ( 0.94) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.98% ( 0.19) | 24.02% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.72% ( 0.28) | 58.28% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.05% Total : 27.52% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.59% Total : 45.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |