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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Inter logo

Lazio
0 - 2
Inter Milan


Casale (81')
Lazzari (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (40'), Thuram (66')
Thuram (26'), Barella (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Lazio
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 0-0 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Lazio 1-2 Inter Milan

Inter have taken 19 points from a possible 21 in Serie A away games this season, making them a fearsome proposition on the road as well as in Milan. With Lazio's defence disrupted by injury and failing to live up to last term's high standards, expect the Scudetto favourites to capitalise thanks to their ruthless attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawInter Milan
32.25% (0.402 0.4) 28.88% (-0.372 -0.37) 38.88% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 44.85% (1.096 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.32% (1.299 1.3)61.68% (-1.301 -1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.5% (0.951 0.95)81.5% (-0.952 -0.95)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.82% (0.994 0.99)35.18% (-0.996 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.07% (1.025 1.03)71.93% (-1.027 -1.03)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18% (0.63900000000001 0.64)30.81% (-0.641 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (0.743 0.74)67.09% (-0.74499999999999 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 32.24%
    Inter Milan 38.88%
    Draw 28.87%
LazioDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 11.32% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 6.97% (0.161 0.16)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.43% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 32.24%
1-1 @ 13.33% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 10.84% (-0.53 -0.53)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.87%
0-1 @ 12.76% (-0.4 -0.4)
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.51% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.095 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.95% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.091 0.09)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 38.88%

How you voted: Lazio vs Inter Milan

Lazio
15.7%
Draw
10.8%
Inter Milan
73.5%
83
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 32
Inter Milan
3-1
Lazio
Martinez (77', 90'), Gosens (83')
Anderson (30')
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lazio
3-1
Inter Milan
Anderson (40'), Alberto (75'), Pedro (86')
Zaccagni (56'), Marusic (64')
Martinez (51')
Brozovic (84')
Jan 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Inter Milan
2-1
Lazio
Bastoni (30'), Skriniar (67')
Vidal (90')
Immobile (35')
Felipe (40'), Basic (54'), Radu (71'), Zaccagni (72')
Oct 16, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 8
Lazio
3-1
Inter Milan
Immobile (64' pen.), Anderson (81'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+1')
Basic (27'), Milinkovic-Savic (83'), Anderson (83')
Felipe (90+7')
Perisic (12' pen.)
Gagliardini (36'), Bastoni (63'), Martinez (83'), Dumfries (83'), Correa (87'), Darmian (90+1')
Feb 14, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Inter Milan
3-1
Lazio
Lukaku (22' pen., 45'), Martinez (64')
Lukaku (26'), Hakimi (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan34285181186389
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna341712549272263
5Roma34178961412059
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio34174134335855
8Fiorentina331481150371350
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino341113103131046
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa341012123840-242
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari34711163659-2332
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3487192650-2431
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3468204070-3026
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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